Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Rombauer Vineyards Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2022
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$59.99——Fairly priced2%
Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$41.99 $44.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Francois Lecomte Pouilly Fuisse 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$34.99 $36.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Chateau Coutet Barsac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$32.99 0.0%—40% below1%
Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$32.99 0.0%—67% below1%
Le Haut Medoc de Giscours Haut Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2022
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$45.99▲ 7.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$47.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$45.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau La Vieille Cure Fronsac 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—52% premium1%
Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Laroque Saint Emilion 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Siran Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.99 0.0%—50% below1%
Chateau Tour Saint Christophe Saint Emilion 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.99 0.0%—48% below1%
Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2022
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$43.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Reserva Tinto Rioja 2012
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$64.99▲ 18.2%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Chofflet Heritage Givry 2023
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$32.99 $34.99 Sale 0.0%—36% premium1%
Chateau Ferriere Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$72.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2024
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$44.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2022
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$62.99 0.0%—177% premium1%
Quinta da Pacheca Late Bottled Port 2018
dessert · Douro · 750 ml
$25.99 $27.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Frog's Leap Merlot Rutherford 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99——Fairly priced1%
Pierre Amadieu Romane Machotte Gigondas 2023
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$25.99——Fairly priced1%
R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Via Gravonia Crianza Blanco Rioja 2016
white · Rioja · 750 ml
$49.99▲ 8.7%—Fairly priced1%
Bledsoe McDaniels LFG Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Oregon 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$45.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine de La Chapelle Pouilly Fuisse Grand Climats 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$42.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023
red · 750 ml
$57.99——Fairly priced1%
Post and Beam Chardonnay Carneros 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Salvaterra Valpolicella Classico Superiore Ripasso 2023
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$19.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$36.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Fattoria le Pupile Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Susana Balbo Wines Brioso Red Blend Mendoza 2023
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$42.99——99% premium1%
Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2023
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$42.99——Fairly priced1%
Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Quattro Theory Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Quattro Theory Merlot Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—29% premium1%
Kith and Kin Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$47.99——Fairly priced1%
Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023
red · 750 ml
$50.99 $54.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$69.99——Fairly priced1%
51–100 of 2,215← PreviousNext →