Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2022 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Francois Lecomte Pouilly Fuisse 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 67% below | 1% |
| Le Haut Medoc de Giscours Haut Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $45.99 | ▲ 7.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Vieille Cure Fronsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Laroque Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Siran Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | 50% below | 1% |
| Chateau Tour Saint Christophe Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | 1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Reserva Tinto Rioja 2012 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $64.99 | ▲ 18.2% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chofflet Heritage Givry 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Ferriere Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $72.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | 177% premium | 1% |
| Quinta da Pacheca Late Bottled Port 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $25.99 $27.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frog's Leap Merlot Rutherford 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Amadieu Romane Machotte Gigondas 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Via Gravonia Crianza Blanco Rioja 2016 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $49.99 | ▲ 8.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bledsoe McDaniels LFG Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Oregon 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Pouilly Fuisse Grand Climats 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $57.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Post and Beam Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Salvaterra Valpolicella Classico Superiore Ripasso 2023 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $19.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fattoria le Pupile Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Susana Balbo Wines Brioso Red Blend Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | 99% premium | 1% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2023 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quattro Theory Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quattro Theory Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Kith and Kin Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $50.99 $54.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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