Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Thieves Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Imagery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 23% premium | 24% typically +5% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Le Goat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | 20% below | 23% typically +5% if it rises |
| Freixenet Cordon Negro Cava Extra Dry sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +5% if it rises |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Beach by Whispering Angel Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +7% if it rises |
| Fleur de Prairie Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | ▲ 6.1% | ▲ 31.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mingle Blackberry Hibiscus Sparkling Mocktail sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Federalist Liberty Bell Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +4% if it rises |
| Meiomi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 21% typically +5% if it rises |
| Les Freres Bastards Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 21% typically +6% if it rises |
| FitVine Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | ▲ 16.1% | 20% premium | 21% typically +4% if it rises |
| Benziger Family Winery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +6% if it rises |
| Raeburn Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 0.4% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| 1924 Bourbon Barrel Aged Double Black Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 $17.49 Sale | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 45.9% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 35.7% | 25% premium | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat A Grown Up Stocking Stuffer Red red · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.1% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
| McBride Sisters Black Girl Magic Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 10.7% | 0.0% | 92% premium | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Apothic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 12.5% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +7% if it rises |
| Apothic Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 12.5% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Selection Organic Vouvray Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +5% if it rises |
| Starborough Starlite Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 13.3% | — | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +9% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.5% | 6% below | 19% typically +12% if it rises |
| Celene Amethyste Cremant de Bordeaux Brut Blanc de Noirs sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yes Way Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Unshackled Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | ▼ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Unshackled Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | ▼ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon California Bourbon Barrel Aged red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 25.0% | 14% premium | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Lush Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 21% below | 19% typically +11% if it rises |
| FitVine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | ▲ 16.1% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +4% if it rises |
| Deerfoot Vineyards and Winery Country Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +8% if it rises |
| I Castelli Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +22% if it rises |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cosmopolitan Diva Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +22% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Moscato Sweet White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tolino Vineyards Mama's Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +4% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Merlot California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.5% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 35% below | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | ▼ 2.3% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Brilla Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 16% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +7% if it rises |
| Vinedos Juegos Clasicos Escoba Malbec Mendoza Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | 39% below | 16% typically +10% if it rises |
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