Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2019 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Jean Francois Roy Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Castello di Meleto Borgaio Vermentino Toscana 2023 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Pio Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.09 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Duplin White Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 39% below | 1% |
| Evening Shade Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Lulu Chardonnay Washington 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Vialoni Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $1.93 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 65 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | 39% below | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Buehler Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma County Napa County 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Sfigato Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.99 | — | — | 38% below | 1% |
| La Fiera Soave 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38% below | <1% |
| La Fiera Soave 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| 90 Plus Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Bodega Piedra Negra Alta Coleccion Organic Pinot Gris Uco Valley 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Vermentino 2023 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Embroidery Chardonnay Monterey County 2024 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Chateau du Pin Franc Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Charles Krug Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% below | 2% |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Lucky No 9 White Blend Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| 90 Plus Cellars Marlborough New Zealand Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Mills Reef Winery Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Sean Minor California Series Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Craftsman's Collection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.45 $10.91 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Left Coast The Orchard Vineyard Pinot Gris Van Duzer Corridor 2022 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Special Select Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.01 $12.02 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Pacific Rim Riesling Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2017 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Carlo Rossi Moscato Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 36% below | 1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 36% below | 4% |
| Pio Cesare L'Altro Chardonnay Langhe 2018 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Domaine Passy le Clou Petit Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montee de Tonnerre 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Smith Madrone Riesling Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2017 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 35% below | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Clos des Guettes Savigny Les Beaune 1er Cru Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 35% below | 3% |
| Charles Krug Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 35% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Trivento White Malbec Reserve Mendoza 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Zonin Winemakers Collection Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | — | 35% below | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Torre de Ermelo Albarino Rias Baixas 2021 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Riesling 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Moillard Grivot Chardonnay Macon Villages 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
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