Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vynecrest Vineyards and Winery Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +10% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Italian Christmas White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Arroyo Vista white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 3.7% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| California Roots Chardonnay white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Smith and Hook Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 8% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +9% if it rises |
| Rombauer Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | 2% premium | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Nobilo Silver Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cupcake Citruskissed Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Relax Riesling Twin Pack 2x750mL white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Roscato Rosso and Moscato 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 23% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 24% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Jacquin's Creme de Cacao White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Valenzano Red White and Blueberry Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Charles Smith Bubbled Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Fruit Infusions Sweet Peach White Blend white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Patz and Hall Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Mouton Cadet x Nathan Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Briganti Pinot Grigio d'Abruzzo white · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Weihnacht's Wein Riesling Spatlese Rheinhessen white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Weis Vineyards Semi Dry Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Schmitt Sohne Sweet Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | ▲ 3.6% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Borealis Vintners Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ecco Domani 90 Calories Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde Medium Sweet white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +13% if it rises |
| Line 39 Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Mount Fishtail Zero Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc Alcohol Removed Wine white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| California Roots Moscato white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Pink Moscato Sangria white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +9% if it rises |
| Wohler Bridge Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bucket List Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| California Roots Sauvignon Blanc white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Calvet Sauvignon Blanc Touraine Loire Valley white · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +8% if it rises |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Bianco Biologico white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
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