Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutter Home Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4% below | 7% typically +22% if it rises |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Discovery Collection Rose Paso Robles 2020 rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 1% below | <1% |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 375 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terras do Sado Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Roubine La Vie en Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Barcelo Ile de Beaute Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angels Ink Rose Central Coast 2021 rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| French Escape Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| And Why am I Mr Pink Rose Columbia Valley 2021 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $2.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.49 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Paradis le Domaine Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Rose Napa Valley 2020 rosé · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Pampelonne Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2022 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Rosato Toscana 2020 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.59 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rose Gold Rose Cotes de Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Granza Rosado Cigales 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beso Del Sol Rose Sangria rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.24 $4.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| E Guigal Tavel Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Vin de France Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Della Scala Pinot Grigio Rose Sicilia 2020 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Vin de France Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Louis Sophie Bertin Vin de France Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lodez Cinsault Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tresor des Sables Tavel Rose 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chemistry Pinot Noir Rose Bubbles Willamette Valley rosé · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Feudi di San Gregorio Ros'Aura Irpinia Rosato 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fabre En Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruby Red Provence Vin de France Rose rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| E Guigal Tavel Rose 2020 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Breca Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kristof Estate Grown Rose of Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chaddsford Sunset Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Franzia White Zinfandel rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 50.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pannonhalmi Foapstag Tricollis Rose Hungary 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $9.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudline Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arbor Mist Exotic Fruits White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Strawberry White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.19 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Vieille Ferme Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine Bellevue Rose Touraine 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Growers Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau des Demoiselles Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Susana Balbo Wines Crios Rose of Malbec Mendoza 2024 rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yarden Hermon Rose Golan Heights 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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