Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Mondavi Winery Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Hess Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Allomi Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +37% if it rises |
| Three Finger Jack Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 $20.49 Sale | ▲ 2.5% | ▲ 2.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lange Estate Winery and Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 $31.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Sweet Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Undurraga Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Undurraga Carmenere Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Rocca delle Macie Sasyr Tuscan Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Hess Collection Maverick Ranches Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Meiomi Bright Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Italian Christmas Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Falesco Vitiano Rosso Umbria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +13% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cap Royal Cuvee Tradition Bordeaux Superieur Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Napa Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | 45% below | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Prisoner Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 $49.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Postmark Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Terre Cabernet Sauvignon Spain red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | 14% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| La Terre Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | 8% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Paso d'Oro Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Textbook Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Masi Bonacosta Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Saldo Zinfandel California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Apothic Crush Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Apothic Dark Red Blend Limited Release red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Mark West Pinot Noir 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Rosso Italia Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.09 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Annabella Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▼ 31.3% | — | 28% below | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Phantom Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 9.1% | — | 40% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Meiomi Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bodegas Ego EL GORU Red Blend Jumilla red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| The Vice The House Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Hilltop Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.49 $38.49 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Porta Vita Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 37% below | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Tenshen Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Papi Sweet Red Demi Sec Central Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | — | — | 33% below | 10% typically +13% if it rises |
| Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres Crianza Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Avennia Gravura Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 93% premium | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bonanza The Vinekeeper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| California Roots Cabernet Sauvignon red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | 4% below | 10% typically +11% if it rises |
| California Roots Red Blend red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | 5% below | 10% typically +11% if it rises |
| Natura Organic Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Oko Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
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