Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blandy's Sercial Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| La Chapelle de Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Marsala dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Laribotte Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Harsanyi Hizelgo Furmint Late Harvest Tokaji 2018 dessert · 500 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rozes Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Delaforce Fine Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Christian Brothers Cream Sherry California dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 1924 Port Barrel Pinot Noir dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cockburn's Porto Branco Fine White Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sandeman Porto Founders Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sawmill Creek Vidal Blanc Ice Wine Canada 2018 dessert · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $70.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Emilio Lustau Fino Jarana Solera Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Warre's Kings Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Pigtown Sweet Red Dessert Wine dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Rozes Porto Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Blandy's Bual Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Tour Blanche Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos Haut Peyraguey Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maynard's Colheita Port 2012 dessert · Douro · 500 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Williams and Humbert Dry Sack Medium Sherry with Glass dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Emilio Lustau Capataz Crema Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Doisy Vedrines Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barnard Griffin Syrah Port Columbia Valley 2019 dessert · Washington · 500 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Verdelho Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Warre's Otima Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Blandy's Rainwater Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hartley And Gibson Oloroso Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Puklus Pinceszet Aszu Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Xalo Mistela Moscatel Alicante 2023 dessert · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Warre's Late Bottled Vintage Porto 2010 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Fino Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taylor Fladgate Porto Late Bottled Vintage dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.49 | ▲ 15.7% | ▲ 20.5% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Taylor Port Black dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Amontillado Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Botani Old Vines Moscatel 2024 dessert · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Warre's Heritage Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pigtown Sweet White Dessert Wine dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2007 dessert · Douro · 1500 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fonseca Porto Bin No 27 dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Delaforce Fine Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Florio Vecchioflorio Marsala Superiore Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +3% if it rises |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Ice Wine Finger Lakes 2020 dessert · Finger Lakes · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eola Hills Winery Vin dEpice Late Harvest Gewurtztraminer Oregon 2015 dessert · Oregon · 375 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Manzanilla Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
51–100 of 206← PreviousNext →