Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 50% typically +3% if it rises |
| McBride Sisters Black Girl Magic Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | ▼ 4.3% | ▲ 10.0% | 78% premium | 41% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 39% typically +4% if it rises |
| Franzia Sauvignon Blanc white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 31% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bucket List Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dark Horse Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Semi Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Infamous Gold Cabernet Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.4% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +5% if it rises |
| Flickerwood Wine Cellars Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +6% if it rises |
| Juniata Valley Winery Cat's Eye White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +6% if it rises |
| Wine Chat Nothing Says Christmas White Wine white · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.1% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Pinot Grigio Limelight white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Dandelion Winery Dandelion White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 31% below | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Z Alexander Brown Chardonnay Uncaged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 2.8% | ▲ 15.6% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Katie's Creek White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Chardonnay Private Selection Buttery white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +3% if it rises |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Imagery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 23% premium | 24% typically +5% if it rises |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +7% if it rises |
| The Calling Chardonnay Dutton Ranch Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +6% if it rises |
| Stags' Leap Sauvignon Blanc white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $31.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| FitVine Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | ▲ 16.1% | 20% premium | 21% typically +4% if it rises |
| Benziger Family Winery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +6% if it rises |
| Raeburn Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 0.4% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +5% if it rises |
| Starborough Starlite Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 13.3% | — | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +9% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 21% below | 19% typically +11% if it rises |
| Spinelli Pinot Grigio Cannister white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 12.0% | — | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +6% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Moscato Sweet White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 35% below | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +7% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% below | 16% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chalk Hill Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +4% if it rises |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| California Roots Pinot Grigio white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +11% if it rises |
| te Pa Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rutherford Ranch Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.8% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Red Newt Cellars Blue Newt White Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
1–50 of 2,882Next →