Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924 Port Barrel Pinot Noir dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alvear Cream Sherry Montilla Moriles dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Alvear Fino Sherry Montilla Moriles dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Alvear PX Sherry Spain dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barnard Griffin Syrah Port Columbia Valley 2019 dessert · Washington · 500 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Syrah Port Columbia Valley 2021 dessert · Washington · 500 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Bual Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Bual Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 15 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blandy's Rainwater Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Blandy's Sercial Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 $37.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +10% if it rises |
| Blandy's Sercial Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blandy's Verdelho Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 $37.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blandy's Verdelho Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bodegas Xalo Bahia de Denia Moscatel Alicante 2023 dessert · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Xalo Mistela Moscatel Alicante 2023 dessert · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bostavan Pastoral Etulia Red Dessert Moldova dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Botani Old Vine Moscatel dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Botani Old Vines Moscatel 2024 dessert · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Broadbent Rainwater Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bruichladdich Islay Single Malt Port Charlotte 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Carmes de Rieussec Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Vin Santo del Chianti Classico 2010 dessert · Tuscany · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Vin Santo del Chianti Classico 2011 dessert · Tuscany · 375 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Vin Santo di Chianti Classico dessert · Tuscany · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bastor Lamontagne Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Bastor Lamontagne Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Carmes de Rieussec Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau D'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $550 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
| Chateau Doisy Vedrines Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Petit Guiraud Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $22.49 $37.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $45.99 | ▲ 7.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2023 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $50.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | 177% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Laribotte Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Laufaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Rieussec Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Sigalas Rabaud Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Lions de Suduiraut Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Lions de Suduiraut Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Lions de Suduiraut Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% below | 1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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