Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 1500 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 76% below | <1% |
| Chateau Tour du Pas Saint Georges Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 76% below | 1% |
| Barr Eden Estate Menglers Hill Dreams of Gold Shiraz Eden Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 72% below | <1% |
| Two Hands Gnarly Dudes Shiraz Barossa Valley 2022 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 72% below | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 72% below | 1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 72% below | <1% |
| Chateau Clos Junet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 71% below | 1% |
| Squealing Pig Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $7.99 | — | — | 70% below | 1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% below | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 68% below | 5% |
| Maynard's Late Bottle Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% below | <1% |
| Clos de Napa Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 67% below | 1% |
| Le Pupille Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2014 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 66% below | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Pinot Noir Sonoma Stage Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 66% below | <1% |
| Bellacosa Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Grape District Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Penfolds Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon Koonunga Hill red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 64% below | 1% |
| Boarding Pass Syrah Greece 2016 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 64% below | <1% |
| Chateau Pagnac Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 64% below | <1% |
| Chateau du Basque Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Slates of Bonmont Priorat 2017 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Perrin and Dobbs Ace of Spades Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Antico Monastero Barbaresco 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Royal Oporto Late Bottle Vintage Porto 2016 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Black Stallion Los Carneros Chardonnay 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Antica Hirpinia Anno Domini 1590 Legenda Taurasi 2015 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | 1% |
| Flora Springs Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| Lua Cheia em Vinhas Velhas Douro Tinto 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% below | 1% |
| Altesino Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% below | <1% |
| Carpe Diem Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% below | <1% |
| Tott's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.36 $8.73 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% below | 2% |
| World's Edge Chardonnay South Eastern Australia white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.5% | 60% below | 4% |
| Marietta Cellars OVR Old Vine Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 60% below | 3% |
| Gearbox Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 60% below | 4% |
| Simonet Vin Mousseux Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.18 $10.36 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% below | 1% |
| Zo Wines Zinfandel Triple Ten Vineyard Dry Creek Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 59% below | <1% |
| Athenaeum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Opici Vineyards Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cune Rioja Gran Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Knock Knock Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.97 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% below | 2% |
| Il Poggione Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Tortoise Creek Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 58% below | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurac Cru Bourgeois Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 58% below | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 375 ml | $2.03 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Dry Rose of Sangiovese Sonoma County 2023 rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Domaine Rosaz Vin des Allobroges 2024 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 57% below | 1% |
| Basel Cellars Claret Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 56% below | 1% |
| Daou Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.84 $15.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% below | 1% |
| Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% below | <1% |
1–50 of 6,416Next →