Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 50% typically +3% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 47% typically +3% if it rises |
| McBride Sisters Black Girl Magic Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | ▼ 4.3% | ▲ 10.0% | 78% premium | 41% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 39% typically +4% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Aged in Bourbon Barrels red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.89 $22.89 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 38% typically +4% if it rises |
| Wonders Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 33% typically +5% if it rises |
| Franzia Sauvignon Blanc white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 31% typically +4% if it rises |
| Apothic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 12.5% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +4% if it rises |
| Moselland Pfalz Rose Cat Bottle rosé · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bucket List Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dark Horse Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Franzia Bold and Jammy Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Jaume Serra Cristalino Cava Brut Rose sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7% below | 28% typically +23% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Casa Santos Lima Blend Portugal Red Blend Lisboa red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Semi Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Alize Red Passion red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Benigna's Creek Delight Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Decoy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Infamous Gold Cabernet Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.4% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cuvee Suzanne Petillant Naturel Vin de France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Flickerwood Wine Cellars Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +6% if it rises |
| Juniata Valley Winery Cat's Eye White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +6% if it rises |
| DFJ Vinhos Portada Lisboa Tinto red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 22% premium | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Beringer Bros Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Paula Kornell Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hallmark Channel Jingle Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Top Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | ▼ 10.0% | ▼ 18.2% | 24% below | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cook's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Rainstorm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | ▲ 5.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat Nothing Says Christmas White Wine white · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.1% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Pinot Grigio Limelight white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Juniata Valley Winery Cat's Eye Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Headed Stepchild red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Dandelion Winery Dandelion White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 31% below | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Z Alexander Brown Chardonnay Uncaged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 2.8% | ▲ 15.6% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Imagery Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Katie's Creek White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Chardonnay Private Selection Buttery white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +3% if it rises |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mingle Blood Orange Elderflower Sparkling Mocktail sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mingle Cranberry Cosmo Sparkling Mocktail sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | 39% below | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mateus Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 45.5% | 56% premium | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Nouveau red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
1–50 of 6,416Next →